April 2021 - Latest Market Update

The local Real Estate market is on a blistering pace and new changes coming to the Mortgage Stress test

“The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 5,708 in March 2021, a 126.1 per cent increase from the 2,524 sales recorded in March 2020, and a 53.2 per cent increase from the 3,727 homes sold in February 2021.” 

It’s not just a Vancouver thing.  Victoria, Whistler, Toronto, Calgary and more are all recording record increases in sales and home prices. 

“In March, residents bought and listed homes across our region at levels not seen before,” Taylor Biggar, REBGV Chair said. “This surge in activity is increasing upward pressure on prices. We’re beginning to see double-digit price gains for single-family homes and townhomes over the last 12 months.” 

These stats have gotten the attention of our Governments and economists.  The bank of Canada has recently issued a warning and has stated their concerns that Canadians may be taking on too much debt to buy Canadian real estate.  They are concerned about whether these price increases are sustainable.  However; these warnings are from Governments that have inflated debt to levels not ever seen before.  It’s hard to take it their concerns too serious, especially when the cost of construction of new homes is reaching record highs.  

Here in Southern BC, we have heard these concerns and warning many times in the past few decades.  The bottom line is that land, lumber and materials are all limited.  We live in one of the best places in the world and certainly the best place in Canada.  Basic economics of supply and demand would suggest you buy real estate sooner than later.   

Mortgage rates have risen from their record lows over the past few months.  They continue to be very attractive though.  A five year fixed can still be offered under 2% and variable rates near 1%.   Be cautious when it comes to mortgage rates.  As our economy rolls out of this pandemic, the mortgage rate may continue to rise further.  More importantly; The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions is making a change to the stress test rate.  It means the rate used will be higher than the rate used currently making it harder to qualify for a prime rate mortgage.  This is to be effective as of June1, 2021.   Act now to refinance.   Send me an email if you have any questions or want to get a refinance started. 

February 2021 - Latest Market Update

The real estate market is looking a lot like 2016

The local Real Estate market had ended 2020 on a blistering pace and this momentum has not changed as the 2021 season gets underway.      

“The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 2,389 in January 2021, a 52.1 per cent increase from the 1,571 sales recorded in January 2020, and a 22.8 per cent decrease from the 3,093 homes sold in December 2020.”

Many segments of the market are doing well but in particular the detached home sales have boomed. Last month’s sales increased almost 70% over the same period last year.  Prices are rising fast and many homes are selling with multiple offers.  BC’s home sales were up 20% in 2020 and the BC Real Estate Association has forecasted sales to increase almost 16% this year over last year.  

 “A strong economic recovery and record-low mortgage rates will continue to drive strong demand this year.”  Brendon Ogmundson, BCREA Chief Economist.

Mortgage rates have remained at their historical lows and a 5 year fixed can be offered as low as 1.69% and variable rates as low as 1.45%.   These conditions are great if you are considering refinancing your mortgage or if you are selling a home.  How long will these conditions last is the big question.   Often during these times we assume that rising home values and falling/low interest rates will be the norm but as history has shown us; things can change quickly. It’s very important not to be complacent during these times.  Some economists have even expressed their concerns that interest rates will rise quicker than earlier predicted due to a stronger recovery from the pandemic.   Although the Bank of Canada said it wasn’t planning to increase rates this year, it doesn’t mean they won’t.  Take advantage of these low rates now and lock into a fixed rate before it’s too late. 

Did you know:  You can get a 20 year fixed rate mortgage in Denmark for 0%

Say good bye to 2020

This year is concluding with mortgage rates at record lows and our local real estate market accelerating to new highs.   This trend is expected to continue well into 2021 and I’m committed to keeping you regularly updated throughout the year. It should be an exciting year and I look forward to helping you all save money and reach your real estate goals.  Whether it’s selling, buying or financing; I’ll be there to help and give you my 100%.

 “Sometimes, a flame can be utterly extinguished.  Sometimes, a flame can shrink and waver, but sometimes a flame refuses to go out.  It flares up from the faintest ember to illuminate the darkness, to burn in spite of overwhelming odds.”  Karen Hesse

I wish all of you a very special Holiday season and the very best for the upcoming New Year.

November 2020 - Latest Market Update

Second Busiest October on Record

Metro Vancouver home sales last month was the second busiest October on record.  Activity since the Spring has remained at record levels.  

“Home has been a focus for residents during the pandemic. With more days and evenings spent at home this year, people are re-thinking their housing situation," Colette Gerber, REBGV Chair said. 

Although the number of listings is up 37% from last October they are 13% lower from last month.   The inventory of homes for sale remains constrained and this combined with the increase in sales has pushed prices upwards.  Since last year the benchmark price of detached homes are up 8.5% and apartment and townhomes benchmark prices up 4.4% and 5.4% respectively.  In Toronto similar results have occurred and prices of detached homes have soared as homeowners are moving away from small apartment space.   

It’s not just the pandemic and constrained inventory levels causing the surge in real estate.  The record low interest rates are also having a huge impact.  It wasn’t that long ago that a 5 year fixed rate was near 4% compared now with the rate as low as 1.80%.  It’s even lower in some circumstances.  The economic growth in our Country is projected to remain challenged and as a result the Bank of Canada recently announced that they expect to keep rates this low until 2023.  

Need funds but the bank said no.  Private first and second mortgages are easily available.   You can access up to 85% of your home’s equity. 

September 2020 - Latest Market Update

Mortgage Rates Fall To Record Lows

Mortgage rates continue to fall and have now reached new record lows.  Five year fixed rates are as low as 1.73% for insured deals and 1.81% for uninsured deals.  Variable rates are also under 2%.  Last Wednesday the Bank of Canada made it clear that they intend to keep rates are low as necessary to help the Canadian economy recover from the impact of Covid19.   There has not been a better time in decades to consider re-negotiating your mortgage.  Although qualifying is not the easiest the opportunity to lock into a fantastic deal is worth the effort. 

Mortgage rates are not the only thing on fire these days.  The real estate market continues to accelerate with increased sales and higher prices but that being said this is primarily being experienced in the detached home market.  Detached homes across lower mainland listed under $2million are selling fast and in many cases with multiple bidders.  Greater Vancouver saw the second best July on record and August wasn’t much different.   If you need to sell the timing is great.  Price your home smartly and it will sell fast.  

Not everything is so rosy.  Certain market segments have not done so well.  Condo re- sales are moderate and pre-sales are down significantly this year.  This moderation has also pushed down rental rates and increased vacancies.  This may be a temporary trend until we see the employment and our economy recover from the impact of the pandemic.  Conditions can change quickly and I recommend to all my clients to review your financial well-being before these opportunities evaporate. 

Need funds but the bank said no.  Private first and second mortgages are easily available.   You can access up to 85% of your home’s equity.